Closed-Failure
0xa50642e87c4778b37ae27b137789a6bca02093fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$20.00
Total PnL
$3.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-09-22?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$20.00
$3.80
- YES
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?
10 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
10 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$0.05Oct 9, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.05Sep 23, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2025-09-22?$16.20Sep 22, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Blé Goudé win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?$21.69Sep 22, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Blé Goudé win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?$21.71Sep 22, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$19.55Sep 22, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$19.57Sep 22, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September?$19.57Sep 22, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September?$19.59Sep 22, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?$19.50Sep 22, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?$19.52Sep 22, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$19.68Sep 22, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$19.70Sep 22, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?$19.66Sep 22, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?$19.68Sep 22, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?$22.14Sep 22, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle O’Neill win the Irish Presidential Election?$22.16Sep 22, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$4.99Sep 22, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$5.00Sep 22, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frances Fitzgerald win the Irish Presidential Election?$19.90Sep 22, 12:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $18.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 22, 11:45 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 9, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".