Lasting-Crawdad
0xa5096868146ce2dae5bdedfc1b54a9174859666e
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.2K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
1464 shares @ 67.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-987.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
1094 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-297.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
937 shares @ 63.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-591.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
741 shares @ 67.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-502.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
727 shares @ 89.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-653.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
561 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-192.55
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
556 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-276.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
496 shares @ 79.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-395.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
461 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-285.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
405 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-144.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$19.23Apr 17, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$439.80Apr 17, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$44.18Apr 17, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$650.00Apr 17, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.00Apr 17, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.00Apr 17, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.00Apr 17, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.83Apr 17, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$250.71Apr 12, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$36.00Apr 12, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$10.00Apr 12, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$5.00Apr 12, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$5.00Apr 12, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$6.72Apr 12, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$4.60Apr 12, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$32.42Apr 12, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$30.00Apr 12, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$16.55Apr 12, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$15.00Apr 12, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$300.87Apr 12, 17:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $121.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 19:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.