Elderly-Cigarette
0xa50f526973c1e8e9d4b88e6f40719c1a1cd0793b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-165.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-60 million views on week 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 600 and 649 times September 1–30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 650 and 699 times September 1–30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gabriel Bortoleto finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?
351 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
345 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jack Doohan finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?
335 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Esteban Ocon finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Oliver Bearman finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUtah vs. Avalanche$5.11Feb 25, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUtah vs. Avalanche$5.00Oct 10, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oliver Bearman finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Oct 3, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Bortoleto finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Oct 3, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Doohan finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Oct 3, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yuki Tsunoda finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Oct 3, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam Lawson finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Oct 3, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Oct 3, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nico Hülkenberg finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Oct 3, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Gasly finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Oct 3, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Oct 3, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Oct 3, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esteban Ocon finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Oct 3, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Isack Hadjar finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Oct 3, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Albon finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Oct 3, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Alonso finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Oct 3, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lance Stroll finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.00Oct 3, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel extradite Tom Alexandrovich to the US by September 30?$1.00Sep 18, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump try to fire Powell by September 30?$1.00Sep 18, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKilmar Abrego Garcia deported by September 30?$2.00Sep 18, 03:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 18, 02:57 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 03:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".