Frizzy-Covariate
0xa514c261d15062f1e145f8376701ccacf2c11bad
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.9K
Realised
$-6.8K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
32340 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.6K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 29?
25000 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 30?
20000 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- SALIKHOV
Salikhov vs. Medic
10728 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-4.8K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on November 11?
6515 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- SCHNELL
Schnell vs. Morales
4762 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 6?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on November 11?
1410 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-775.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
1277 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
954 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-387.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$3.6KApr 18, 11:47 UTC
- REWARD$1.95Apr 16, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.15Apr 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$3.8KApr 15, 00:06 UTC
- REWARD$0.23Apr 15, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$2.13Apr 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$4.8KApr 14, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$1.3KApr 14, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$31.20Apr 14, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$3.3KApr 14, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$2.8KApr 14, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$15.00Apr 14, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.26Apr 14, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.18Apr 14, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.26Apr 14, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.19Apr 14, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.83Apr 14, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$15.59Apr 13, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$8.82Apr 13, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$149.84Apr 13, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $831.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 11:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".