0xa51515ce98a92db10ab9e8163f88e8b83be4309b
0xa51515ce98a92db10ab9e8163f88e8b83be4309b
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-111.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 24?
290 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.48
- CHARRIERE
Nathaniel Wood vs. Morgan Charriere
120 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-64.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on May 19 at 5 PM ET?
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2025$0.00
$-19.80
- NO
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Chinese GP?
25 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on April 30?
10 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on April 29?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- GUJARAT
Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.85
- PUNJAB
Punjab Kings vs. Rajasthan Royals
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
- NO
Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on April 11?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on May 19 at 5 PM ET?$19.80May 19, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Susan Crawford win by less than 2%?$20.00May 19, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 30?$4.40Apr 30, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NAFTA" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?$5.00Apr 30, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 29?$2.50Apr 28, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NAFTA" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?$2.95Apr 28, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?$5.00Apr 28, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.05Apr 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on April 11?$3.40Apr 11, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-10?$5.00Apr 11, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-04-10?$1.40Apr 9, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?$1.10Apr 6, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?$1.00Apr 6, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPunjab Kings vs. Rajasthan Royals$2.80Apr 5, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLKolkata Knight Riders vs. Sunrisers Hyderabad$2.95Apr 3, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Trump Reciprocal Trade Act" by April 4?$1.00Apr 3, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump Reciprocal Trade Act" by April 4?$1.00Apr 3, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKolkata Knight Riders vs. Sunrisers Hyderabad$2.20Apr 3, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susan Crawford win by less than 2%?$16.80Apr 1, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye launch a coin in March?$20.00Apr 1, 09:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $8.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 09:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 07:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".