Optimistic-Numeric
0xa5155403ad2f23064b31deb4e0facb1d54443b3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$24.42
Total PnL
$1.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$22.22
$2.22
- NO
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
2 shares @ 91.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$2.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Rodrygo Silva de Goes sign with a new club during the transfer window?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrygo Silva de Goes sign with a new club during the transfer window?$1.00Jul 8, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2025?$20.00Jul 8, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120K in June?$0.00Jul 8, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$0.00Jul 8, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?$1.05Jul 8, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?$1.09Jul 8, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?$2.90Jul 8, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cooper Flagg be the first pick of the 2025 NBA Draft?$5.08Jul 8, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120K in June?$6.49Jul 8, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$6.73Jul 8, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$2.00Jun 24, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.00Jun 24, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?$0.00Jun 13, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?$2.00Jun 2, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?$5.00Jun 2, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cooper Flagg be the first pick of the 2025 NBA Draft?$5.00Jun 2, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in June?$5.00Jun 2, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMTrump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? $0.00Jun 2, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $115k in May?$0.00Jun 2, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?$0.00Jun 2, 04:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $3.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 02:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 04:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.