Graceful-Oil
0xa518b859605534decc455b39a42f5863755c2549
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-125.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
1643 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-03-27?
92 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-33.87
- YES
Another US military action against Iran by Monday?
57 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- SINNER
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 2AM ET
19 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-17.01
- FLAMES
Flames vs. Canucks
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DUCKS
Ducks vs. Kraken
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BLUE JACKETS
Blue Jackets vs. Predators
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- AVALANCHE
Avalanche vs. Sharks
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Drill baby drill" during his AI speech on July 23?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-03-27?$33.87Mar 27, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?$34.33Mar 27, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?$90.56Mar 27, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-03-26?$90.56Mar 27, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-03-26?$86.14Mar 26, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jannik Sinner$86.15Mar 26, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jannik Sinner$82.70Mar 25, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMBucaramanga: Franco Roncadelli vs Christopher Li$82.69Mar 25, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucaramanga: Franco Roncadelli vs Christopher Li$82.53Mar 25, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchova$82.53Mar 25, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchova$72.63Mar 24, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 24?$0.00Mar 24, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 24?$72.62Mar 24, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 24?$71.90Mar 24, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?$71.90Mar 22, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 21?$70.83Mar 21, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWarriors vs. Pistons$70.82Mar 21, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Pistons$68.70Mar 21, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?$5.87Mar 21, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?$5.00Mar 20, 19:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $57.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 06:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 14:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".