Immediate-Outcome
0xa519767d330f9fe30b793ef3aebe51deae15a4fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.36
Total PnL
$-10.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
70 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.36
$0.10
- HORNETS
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
6336 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.2K
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 1AM ET
5110 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 7AM ET
4780 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
- ALLIANCE
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
4445 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.32May 8, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 9?$5.04May 8, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 9?$5.05May 7, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.65Mar 12, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.10Mar 12, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.69Mar 12, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$5.74Feb 27, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$5.74Feb 27, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 27, 1AM ET$141.00Feb 27, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 27, 1AM ET$2.4KFeb 27, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$4.66Feb 27, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$4.72Feb 27, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 4PM ET$10.2KFeb 27, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.77Feb 26, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.77Feb 26, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 4PM ET$478.50Feb 26, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 4PM ET$4.6KFeb 26, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 26, 8AM ET$5.1KFeb 26, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$6.01Feb 26, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$6.01Feb 26, 11:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $579.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 17:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 17:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".