Calm-Proponent
0xa519c53aeb7e12929b9024adc48fb5d4e70826f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$25.75
Total PnL
$-189.73
Realised
$-0.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.75
$-14.25
- NO
Will One Battle After Another be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Marty Supreme be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "MIA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
98 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
89 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$1.82Feb 28, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLTotal Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.92Feb 28, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTotal Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?$28.00Feb 28, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$3.00Feb 28, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$2.00Feb 23, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$2.05Feb 23, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$2.78Feb 23, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Feb 22, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?$0.31Feb 21, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$0.54Feb 21, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$2.00Feb 17, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$2.13Feb 17, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$3.00Feb 17, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$3.30Feb 17, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$8.00Feb 17, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.84Feb 17, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$4.00Feb 17, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$6.35Feb 16, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?$38.00Feb 10, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 12:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 13:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.