Old-Arrogance
0xa51d11c0f6b59dc7602f8aabc52ae360715f7424
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-772.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023?
5836 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2023$0.00
$-59.29
- NO
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022?
4920 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2022$0.00
$-151.60
- YES
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30?
4846 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2023$0.00
$-143.99
- NO
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022?
2175 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2022$0.00
$-350.00
- NO
US debt ceiling hike by July 1?
600 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2023$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
US debt ceiling hike by June 1?
300 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2023$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Huobi become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023?
200 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2023$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS debt ceiling hike by July 1?$10.50May 28, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS debt ceiling hike by July 1?$3.00May 28, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS debt ceiling hike by July 1?$16.50May 28, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS debt ceiling hike by June 1?$17.61May 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS debt ceiling hike by June 1?$2.22May 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS debt ceiling hike by June 1?$10.17May 27, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30?$18.21Apr 4, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30?$1.79Apr 3, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30?$1.32Mar 25, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30?$1.04Mar 25, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30?$1.10Mar 25, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30?$1.10Mar 25, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30?$30.00Mar 21, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30?$2.98Mar 20, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30?$37.02Mar 17, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30?$2.80Mar 13, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30?$8.70Mar 13, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30?$24.01Mar 13, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30?$8.70Mar 13, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30?$5.23Mar 12, 22:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $10.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 22:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 15:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".