Polished-Necklace
0xa51de721da0168815406b6630e444ad37e9860ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-249.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will TikTok be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
5400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 25?
2130 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?
246 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-121.46
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?
28 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Celtics
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?$121.46Jan 31, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$5.40Jan 31, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TikTok be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19?$10.00Dec 19, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMBlackhawks vs. Maple Leafs$16.55Dec 19, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlackhawks vs. Maple Leafs$10.76Dec 16, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$10.00Dec 16, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?$20.77Dec 3, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?$16.82Dec 2, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$20.00Nov 27, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$11.18Nov 27, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMBowling vs. UMass$0.00Nov 27, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMSharks vs. Avalanche$25.64Nov 27, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-26?$3.18Nov 26, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 1PM ET$3.00Nov 26, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSharks vs. Avalanche$20.00Nov 26, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Celtics$10.00Nov 26, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMBowling vs. UMass$11.63Nov 26, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$10.05Nov 25, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Legacy vs RED Canids (BO1)$0.00Nov 25, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Legacy vs RED Canids (BO1)$13.51Nov 25, 19:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $20.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 18:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.