Carefree-Rap
0xa5309bc441d827265840f47181db31bd634e72a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.59
Total PnL
$-1.23
Realised
$0.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.59
$0.59
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.55
- NO
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$1.00Dec 8, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeorgescu banned from Romania election?$1.00Dec 8, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 8, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?$0.00Dec 8, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$1.89Dec 8, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $3.85Dec 8, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$541.58Oct 31, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$540.40Oct 31, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$1.00Oct 31, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?$2.00Oct 12, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,600 on October 4?$4.08Oct 12, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$1.50Oct 7, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,600 on October 4?$2.00Sep 30, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $2.00Sep 30, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.00Sep 30, 23:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $109.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 23:19 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 14:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.