Third-Odyssey
0xa53ba9d683f68602ccd767512d5c862a43824021
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$252.07
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?
1552 shares @ 67.8¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$923.35
$-128.66
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?
2527 shares @ 31.4¢·now 13.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$347.43
$-445.60
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in July?
1240 shares @ 45.5¢·now 25.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$315.51
$-248.50
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?
4088 shares @ 25.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$306.59
$-714.86
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?
1212 shares @ 35.7¢·now 22.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$266.60
$-165.62
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
867 shares @ 17.3¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$260.15
$109.86
- YES
Will Solana dip to $70 in July?
699 shares @ 45.3¢·now 33.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$234.12
$-82.37
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
2025 shares @ 19.9¢·now 8.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$160.99
$-242.66
- YES
Will EUR/USD hit 1.12 (Low) in 2026?
190 shares @ 63.8¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$144.26
$23.10
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
800 shares @ 8.8¢·now 6.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$53.20
$-17.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $52 in July?$578.81Jul 28, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?$48.60Jul 28, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in July?$22.61Jul 28, 02:07 UTC
- REWARD$2.99Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?$191.74Jul 27, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 27 2026?$243.69Jul 27, 04:59 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$15.39Jul 27, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$11.79Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$7.63Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 27 2026?$109.95Jul 26, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?$32.73Jul 26, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 27 2026?$289.94Jul 26, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$4.03Jul 26, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$4.12Jul 26, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$347.64Jul 26, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$0.00Jul 26, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$32.36Jul 26, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$75.00Jul 26, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$79.47Jul 26, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$105.53Jul 26, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $107.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 08:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.