Wallet profile

Trustworthy-Sort

0xa53c26443fb636d8ae31ac24f62fc1d5ef8f67a5

activity 36/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

36/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

5

Open notional

$2.71

Total PnL

$-53.73

Realised

$-3.04

Win rate

0%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$123.5K

Trades

6

Buy share

81%

Window

May 29, 07:40 UTC → Jun 11, 15:05 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $116.0K

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

8/100
read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

Thin resolved sample

Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.

High mirror risk

Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

0% win rate over 3 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

0/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal
block

Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.

Resolved-only track record
review

3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$123.5K

6 trades

Buy share

81%

Sample

limited

6 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

$93.1K · 75% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?75% of recorded volume$93.1KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?19% of recorded volume$22.9KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?6% of recorded volume$7.5K

Profile dimensions

Activity70 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk82 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
45
Avg trade size
$1.6K
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jun 15, 18:57 UTC
Last active
Jun 20, 00:00 UTC
Win rate sample
3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 20:42:10 UTC·src:Polymarket Data