Creamy-Flavor
0xa5462e17ff6febf5c7db874f1ae3356b7c2ce9f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$136.60
Total PnL
$-75.29
Realised
$2.76
Win rate
62%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 22?
30 shares @ 7.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$29.52
$27.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 25?
14 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$13.64
$7.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?
11 shares @ 6.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$11.31
$10.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 24?
8 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$8.28
$4.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?
10 shares @ 41.9¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$8.00
$3.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 28?
8 shares @ 61.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$7.79
$2.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 25?
7 shares @ 49.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$7.02
$3.52
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 21?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$5.00
$3.25
- FORZE ESPORTS
Game Handicap: FORZE Esports (-1.5) vs Cyber Hero (+1.5)
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$4.99
$0.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 27?
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$4.80
$2.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29?$0.01Jul 29, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 30?$0.64Jul 29, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?$1.04Jul 29, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 30?$1.34Jul 29, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 30?$2.05Jul 29, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29?$1.02Jul 29, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29?$1.66Jul 29, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 30?$2.63Jul 28, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?$2.44Jul 28, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 30?$1.12Jul 28, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 29?$1.66Jul 28, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 29?$1.24Jul 28, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 28?$1.27Jul 28, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 28?$0.74Jul 28, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 28?$0.12Jul 28, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 28?$0.63Jul 28, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 28?$0.27Jul 28, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$0.12Jul 28, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$0.03Jul 28, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$0.11Jul 28, 14:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 10:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.