Valid-Paramecium
0xa54e1b05ffcedf25f1b75642b31efa1778977326
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$49.19
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
17457 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
8297 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
1837 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
1258 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
1206 shares @ 85.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
1041 shares @ 62.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-651.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 14?
420 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1PM ET
307 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-18.32
- KINGS
Kings vs. 76ers
158 shares @ 60.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-96.13
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?
127 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.0KFeb 3, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$100.00Feb 3, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$100.00Feb 3, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$338.27Feb 3, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$100.00Feb 3, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$100.00Feb 3, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$0.00Feb 3, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$0.00Feb 3, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.1KFeb 3, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$577.55Feb 3, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$0.00Feb 3, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$660.42Feb 3, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.2KFeb 3, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$26.49Feb 3, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$969.73Feb 3, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$100.00Feb 3, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?$164.58Feb 3, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?$150.00Feb 3, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?$20.00Feb 3, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1PM ET$18.32Feb 2, 18:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $172.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 20:47 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 22:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".