0xa5531c7b8afa6a95216f34f36df660eec37f789d
0xa5531c7b8afa6a95216f34f36df660eec37f789d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$319.52
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1964 shares @ 10.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$162.07
$-52.06
- YES
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
222 shares @ 24.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$107.61
$54.36
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
354 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.67
$-30.12
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
647 shares @ 4.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.17
$-15.60
- YES
Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 3 Panama?
4449 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-63.48
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Uzbekistan?
2885 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-17.31
- HAITI
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
1988 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-974.34
- YES
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 DR Congo?
1574 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-17.31
- YES
Exact Score: Panama 3 - 3 Croatia?
1420 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-17.31
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Ghana?
1236 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.65
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 DR Congo?$18.00Jun 23, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 3 Ghana?$8.99Jun 23, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Panama 3 - 3 Croatia?$18.00Jun 23, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Uzbekistan?$18.00Jun 23, 10:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?$32.99Jun 22, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq?$33.00Jun 22, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$145.14Jun 22, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$33.00Jun 21, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$66.15Jun 21, 22:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$33.00Jun 20, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$99.00Jun 20, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$255.82Jun 20, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5$481.15Jun 20, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$1.1KJun 20, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5$232.00Jun 19, 20:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $128.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 19:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.