Fluid-Eardrum
0xa561bf8c12670a13f81a7d4bdd5b7c260cc7bae4
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$6.26
Total PnL
$-2.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.90
$0.30
- YES
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
1 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
6 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.60Feb 24, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 24, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 24, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill DtMF by Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 21?$1.09Feb 24, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.09Feb 24, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.41Feb 24, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.40Feb 19, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?$1.42Feb 19, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?$1.40Feb 11, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DtMF by Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 21?$1.00Feb 11, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 11, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$3.12Feb 11, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?$1.00Feb 5, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$1.06Feb 5, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.00Feb 1, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$1.00Feb 1, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$1.00Feb 1, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$1.00Feb 1, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$1.00Feb 1, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$1.05Feb 1, 13:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 04:53 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 00:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.