Important-Terminology
0xa56a70b053afb38452b8c724466093dd9e9c2d0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$-84.64
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
1430 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-81.21
- NO
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?
673 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
642 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-29.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 14?
571 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-126.38
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
552 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 21?
524 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-218.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 8?
429 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
426 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.85
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
400 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 11?$9.45May 10, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$6.25May 10, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$3.11May 10, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.49May 10, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET$3.14May 10, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$9.09May 10, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.02May 10, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 11?$41.30May 10, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.16May 10, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$16.51May 10, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.25May 10, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$35.71May 10, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$25.52May 10, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$12.50May 10, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$5.21May 10, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$7.04May 10, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$5.10May 10, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$16.99May 8, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$7.19May 8, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 8?$306.31May 8, 06:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $28.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 08:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 18:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.