Lumbering-Optimal
0xa5828cdeebda504e587aaf76a7ebe7245daa7ff9
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$2.78
Total PnL
$-92.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
AWS service disrupted by March 31?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.56
$1.56
- YES
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.15
$-1.85
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
667 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
145 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?
113 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-22.63
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
100 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.51
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAWS service disrupted by March 31?$1.00Mar 4, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?$1.83Mar 2, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?$2.17Mar 2, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 19, 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?$1.00Feb 18, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?$1.74Feb 18, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?$1.00Feb 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?$1.00Feb 15, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?$5.00Feb 14, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?$5.00Feb 13, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?$9.07Feb 13, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$2.00Feb 12, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Feb 12, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?$1.00Feb 11, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?$4.00Feb 11, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?$4.13Feb 11, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$5.00Feb 10, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$1.00Feb 10, 16:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 13:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 10:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.