Spiffy-Apprehension
0xa5841c7cd503fd3a96d091c8de1b6e1e4ad4ec2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$38.43
Total PnL
$-2.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
3 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.11
$0.11
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1 shares @ 73.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.36
$0.36
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Odds Nasralla wins Honduras presidential election Sunday overt 50%?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- NO
US strike on Syria by December 31?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?$1.00Jan 3, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 31, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.00Dec 30, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.00Dec 30, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?$1.00Dec 28, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Dec 27, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?$1.00Dec 24, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$0.99Dec 23, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$2.01Dec 23, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?$1.00Dec 23, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Syria by December 31?$1.00Dec 22, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$1.00Dec 20, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$1.00Dec 20, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?$1.00Dec 19, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?$1.00Dec 18, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?$1.00Dec 18, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?$1.01Dec 17, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?$1.00Dec 17, 04:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 02:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 19:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".