Artistic-Underpants
0xa58955bcc4f58789aafe5ffdfaf08e240950aa13
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$450.01
Total PnL
$-68.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?
48 shares @ 58.9¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.49
$11.49
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
38 shares @ 73.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$31.26
$3.26
- NO
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
39 shares @ 71.2¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.08
$3.08
- YES
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
85 shares @ 33.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$30.55
$2.55
- YES
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
32 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$29.11
$1.11
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$28.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
31 shares @ 89.4¢·now 89.1¢·exp May 26, 2026$27.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the first round?
32 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
32 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$27.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
42 shares @ 67.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$27.37
$-0.63
Recent activity
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$75.68May 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$28.25May 15, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$31.59May 15, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the first round?$28.13May 15, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$28.19May 15, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$37.33May 14, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?$28.12May 14, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$28.75May 14, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.06May 13, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$28.35May 13, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$32.87May 13, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$43.08May 12, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$28.00May 11, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$28.00May 11, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$28.00May 11, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 27-29 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$28.37May 11, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$28.13May 10, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$28.88May 10, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$28.23May 10, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike 7 countries in 2026?$28.00May 9, 22:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $28.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 03:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".