Double-Thistle-Language
0xa5934abd8a4780e0a54b3671b9b54a3ae0896c2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
98
Open notional
$46.92
Total PnL
$-85.44
Realised
$-1.77
Win rate
0%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 22?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 22?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 22?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 22?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.18
$0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 22?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.18
$0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 22?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 22?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 22?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 22?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 22?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.10
$0.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 21?$1.43Aug 21, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 21?$2.56Aug 21, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 22?$1.03Aug 21, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 22?$1.03Aug 21, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 22?$1.04Aug 21, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on August 22?$1.04Aug 21, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 22?$1.04Aug 21, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 22?$1.03Aug 21, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 22?$1.03Aug 21, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 22?$1.04Aug 21, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 22?$1.03Aug 21, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 22?$1.03Aug 21, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 22?$1.04Aug 21, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 22?$1.05Aug 21, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 22?$1.05Aug 21, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 22?$1.04Aug 21, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 22?$1.05Aug 21, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 22?$1.05Aug 21, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 22?$1.02Aug 21, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 22?$1.03Aug 21, 10:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 40 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
40 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 09:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.