Private-Maker
0xa5939fcc6c94cc665a154d1fed1f98ffe33a5d70
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-67.04
Realised
$0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on February 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 54°F or higher on February 7?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C on February 7?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 11?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 7?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.15Feb 27, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$0.12Feb 27, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLX banned in U.K. by March 31?$4.04Feb 27, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or higher on February 19?$2.80Feb 18, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or higher on February 19?$11.20Feb 18, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLThe Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)$2.38Feb 15, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)$1.00Feb 15, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$1.83Feb 15, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$2.18Feb 15, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$4.41Feb 14, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wuthering Heights" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.00Feb 14, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$1.00Feb 13, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$1.00Feb 13, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 13, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$2.00Feb 13, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$4.60Feb 13, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wuthering Heights" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.00Feb 13, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.30Feb 13, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$1.00Feb 13, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$1.00Feb 13, 09:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 17:28 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 17:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.