Vivid-Contingency
0xa5973b0429e272fd862f7b579c6893381342eb70
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-98.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 US Open?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 US Open?
126 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.58
- NO
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?
60 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during events with Turkish president on September 25?
39 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift say "Swiftie" 3+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?
36 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.98
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?
17 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-8.58
- NO
Will Trump say "Zelensky" during conference with Putin on August 15?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
13 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.53
- YES
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
12 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs$1.71Feb 28, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Alliance (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffs$3.30Feb 6, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$10.20Oct 16, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.19Oct 14, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.16Oct 14, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$15.09Oct 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good Afternoon" during speech on October 14?$1.00Oct 14, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Recession" or "Depression" during speech on October 14?$1.00Oct 14, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good Afternoon" during speech on October 14?$1.00Oct 14, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Tariff" 6+ times during speech on October 14?$1.00Oct 14, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$7.80Oct 14, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandra Leitão be elected Mayor of Lisbon?$6.12Oct 12, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandra Leitão be elected Mayor of Lisbon?$2.78Oct 12, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandra Leitão be elected Mayor of Lisbon?$5.55Oct 12, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandra Leitão be elected Mayor of Lisbon?$14.14Oct 12, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?$7.70Oct 12, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?$6.10Oct 8, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: M80 vs Heroic$0.00Sep 30, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Heroic vs 3DMAX$4.40Sep 30, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: M80 vs Heroic$8.33Sep 30, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 3, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 10:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".