Fussy-Dad
0xa59c570a9eca148da55f6e1f47a538c0c600bb62
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$-9.6K
Realised
$2.52
Win rate
71%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
3135 shares @ 4.6¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.2K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?
1245 shares @ 93.9¢·now 94.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.2K
$8.25
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?
1123 shares @ 90.5¢·now 91.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.0K
$5.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
3000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$765.00
$649.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
3000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$675.00
$559.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
2550 shares @ 5.4¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$216.74
$79.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
3172 shares @ 4.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$166.55
$32.05
- YES
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
31495 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$110.23
$-135.81
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
1000 shares @ 16.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
3081 shares @ 39.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$64.71
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$5.40Jul 22, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$9.06Jul 22, 00:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.31Jul 22, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.09Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.79Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$23.0KJul 21, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$299.69Jul 21, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$177.02Jul 21, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$10.07Jul 21, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$360.40Jul 21, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$300.88Jul 21, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$3.92Jul 21, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$100.32Jul 21, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$79.46Jul 21, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$157.69Jul 21, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$69.86Jul 21, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$2.3KJul 21, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$11.22Jul 21, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$2.3KJul 21, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$11.9K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 21, 03:50 UTC → May 21, 23:51 UTC
- BUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$5.5K@99¢May 21, 23:51 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
$6.4K · 54% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $426.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 15:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.