Frilly-Consensus
0xa5c2aff25b57bb576d765d0004ab9fd225c238d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-176.98
Realised
$51.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
3700 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
3333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?
2234 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-99.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
1333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
752 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
380 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
260 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.75
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
185 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
136 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 24?$0.00May 27, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$6.00May 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$100.00May 24, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 27?$95.00May 24, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$100.00May 24, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 27?$80.00May 24, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$10.49May 4, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 21?$10.50Apr 8, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 21?$7.00Mar 21, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 21?$10.00Mar 21, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$10.00Mar 7, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$8.00Mar 6, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$12.66Mar 3, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$5.03Mar 3, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$19.00Mar 2, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$19.22Mar 2, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$15.00Mar 2, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$15.00Mar 2, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$49.00Mar 1, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$15.00Feb 24, 20:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $21.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 08:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".