Costly-Night
0xa5c591639f308fd52bd096316b210a094a5fee15
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Republicans control 223 seats in the House after the election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Minnesota be the closest state?
402 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 223 seats in the House after the election?$1.00Nov 17, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota be the closest state?$1.00Nov 17, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?$1.00Nov 17, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+$0.00Nov 17, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEM2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House$0.00Nov 17, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 17, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 17, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?$0.00Aug 16, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+$1.00Jul 29, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$1.00Jul 29, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House$1.00Jul 29, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?$1.00Jul 29, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jul 29, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 17, 07:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".