Weighty-Cushion
0xa5ce17f6636159ac2b17ebd19d8e7692e26b2fa6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-764.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- NO
Will Solana reach $90 in July?
113 shares @ 38.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$91.53
$48.59
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
99 shares @ 43.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$66.33
$23.76
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
75 shares @ 59.0¢·now 87.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$65.36
$21.11
- NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
83 shares @ 52.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$62.25
$19.09
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
73 shares @ 59.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$60.95
$17.88
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
66 shares @ 64.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$60.39
$18.15
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?
73 shares @ 58.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$56.58
$14.23
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
66 shares @ 65.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$54.12
$11.22
- NO
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?
64 shares @ 50.0¢·now 74.4¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$47.33
$15.50
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
77 shares @ 54.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$44.66
$3.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 3.7% in June?$70.99Jul 14, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 3.8% in June?$62.05Jul 14, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$41.60Jul 14, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$42.24Jul 14, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in July?$2.90Jul 11, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$5.16Jul 10, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$5.16Jul 10, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$1.09Jul 9, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$42.00Jul 9, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$8.16Jul 9, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?$42.34Jul 9, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$24.47Jul 9, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$41.83Jul 9, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in July?$3.92Jul 9, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$42.93Jul 8, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?$3.60Jul 8, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?$3.00Jul 8, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?$66.00Jul 8, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$40.95Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$31.41Jul 7, 18:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $28.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 08:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 14:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.