Enlightened-Debt-Impairment
0xa5d5a4ea1f92e6c09fb43b7d7d25d95d5e0301b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
174
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-340.78
Win rate
13%
174 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 174- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
116 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- FRANCE
France vs. England: Team to Win
114 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
112 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
111 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
106 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
105 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$0.00Aug 15, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$0.00Aug 15, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.07Aug 15, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$5.34Aug 15, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$5.32Aug 15, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$11.28Aug 15, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$11.96Aug 15, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$10.22Aug 15, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$10.44Aug 15, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$36.67Aug 15, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$1.07Aug 15, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$12.85Aug 15, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.07Aug 15, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$10.36Aug 15, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$3.36Aug 15, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$5.28Aug 15, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$10.16Aug 15, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$14.65Aug 15, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$10.34Aug 15, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$25.97Aug 15, 01:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 174 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
174 closed markets, 13% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 01:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 174 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.