Squiggly-Variability
0xa5d6deb794109d7b156a1f8b893e496a4359339d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$21.12
Total PnL
$-5.52
Realised
$-0.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$13.75
$0.01
- NO
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$3.60
$0.00
- NO
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.47
$0.47
- NO
US national Solana reserve in 2025?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in December 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in December 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$299.70Dec 12, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?$1.41Dec 12, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMTrump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?$1.04Dec 12, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran by Friday?$1.20Dec 12, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Dec 9, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$303.30Dec 9, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$308.15Dec 9, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$322.20Dec 9, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in December 2025?$3.00Dec 9, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran by Friday?$1.00Jun 19, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?$1.00Jun 19, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?$1.00Jun 19, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMFulham wins the Premier League?$1.00Jun 19, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMNewcastle United wins the Premier League?$1.01Jun 19, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMRep. Al Green censured before April?$1.06Jun 19, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$1.15Jun 19, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?$2.04Jun 19, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRep. Al Green censured before April?$1.00Mar 6, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?$2.00Mar 6, 01:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $38.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 01:35 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.