Knobby-Lunge
0xa5d7df74435c0b5d69b29b0a7418b6f12d7cfa12
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$7.63
Total PnL
$-15.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Serbia win on 2026-03-30?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.31
$0.31
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- MAYAR SHERIF
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuan
27 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.20
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCredit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuan$14.41Mar 31, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win on 2026-03-30?$5.00Mar 31, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 31, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$2.00Mar 31, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.00Mar 31, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMAI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?$0.00Mar 31, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$25.07Mar 31, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$25.25Mar 31, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$25.00Nov 26, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$25.00Nov 26, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$4.23Nov 26, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$4.00Aug 31, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$5.26Aug 31, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$5.00Jul 8, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 29-May 5?$2.33Jul 8, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI acquire Windsurf before August?$4.76Jul 8, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI acquire Windsurf before August?$2.00Apr 30, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 29-May 5?$2.00Apr 30, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?$2.00Apr 30, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sydney Sweeney break up with her fiancé before June?$2.04Apr 30, 18:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $5.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 22:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.