Genuine-Mentor
0xa5d868620f25afb619d748e552fba73cfa6f415c
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-908.33
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
792 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$791.12
$7.37
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
783 shares @ 94.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$774.43
$32.85
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
546 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$540.63
$11.98
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
58 shares @ 98.5¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$56.76
$-0.44
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
913 shares @ 88.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-806.84
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
826 shares @ 93.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-774.95
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
390 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-331.50
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
308 shares @ 83.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-256.64
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
233 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-193.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$30.51Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$26.73Jun 24, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$84.34Jun 24, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$49.05Jun 23, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$474.81Jun 23, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$108.85Jun 23, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$181.90Jun 23, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$18.62Jun 23, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$281.70Jun 23, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$187.80Jun 23, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$28.14Jun 23, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$100.00Jun 23, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$39.02Jun 23, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$30.57Jun 23, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$140.68Jun 23, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$50.28Jun 23, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$62.71Jun 23, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$67.53Jun 23, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$55.60Jun 23, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$334.15Jun 23, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $115.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.