0xa5dd4e5d46a38db5bb91fe3d97359d7ae8e0bf9a
0xa5dd4e5d46a38db5bb91fe3d97359d7ae8e0bf9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
117
Open notional
$588.52
Total PnL
$4.3K
Realised
$3.7K
Win rate
95%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- DEMOCRAT
Senate: Will a Democrat (Welch) or Republican (Malloy) win in Vermont?
95 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2022$95.32
$95.32
- NO
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by June 1, 2022?
60 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2022$60.00
$60.00
- YES
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022?
55 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2023$54.54
$54.54
- YES
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q3 2022?
53 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2022$52.51
$52.51
- YES
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
47 shares @ 18.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2022$46.87
$38.37
- NO
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $20 Billion a week after its launch?
71 shares @ 0.0¢·now 51.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$36.31
$36.31
- YES
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
21 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$21.18
$21.18
- YES
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022?
19 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2022$19.26
$19.26
- YES
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022?
18 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2022$17.89
$17.89
- CUELLAR
Who will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar?
15 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2022$15.40
$15.40
Recent activity
- SPLIT[Single Market] Will Ben Shapiro win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$0.07Apr 24, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by April 19th?$294.56Apr 24, 16:43 UTC
- MERGEWill there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022?$863.29Apr 24, 16:28 UTC
- MERGEWill OpenSea launch a token by December 31st, 2022?$24.62Apr 18, 21:25 UTC
- MERGEWill J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?$27.03Apr 18, 21:25 UTC
- MERGEWill the Brooklyn Nets win the NBA ‘21-’22 Championship?$62.32Apr 18, 21:25 UTC
- MERGEWill the Toronto Maple Leafs win the NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup?$72.68Apr 18, 21:25 UTC
- MERGEWill Katie Britt win the 2022 Alabama Republican Senate nomination?$87.10Apr 18, 21:25 UTC
- MERGEWhich party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?$461.98Apr 18, 21:25 UTC
- MERGEWill there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022?$37.23Apr 18, 21:25 UTC
- MERGEWill SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by June 30, 2022?$154.52Apr 18, 21:16 UTC
- MERGESenate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona?$25.34Apr 18, 21:16 UTC
- MERGEWill the bill making Daylight Savings Time permanent be signed into law by April 30, 2022?$880.74Apr 18, 21:16 UTC
- MERGESenate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin?$48.46Apr 18, 21:16 UTC
- MERGEWill income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022?$218.97Apr 18, 21:15 UTC
- MERGEWill Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination?$20.67Apr 18, 21:15 UTC
- MERGEWill the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?$164.57Apr 18, 21:15 UTC
- MERGEWill the floor price of Bored Apes be above 150 ETH on April 25?$155.18Apr 18, 21:15 UTC
- MERGEWill ‘BlockFi Yield’ become available to US citizens by June 30, 2022?$15.75Apr 18, 21:10 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022?$18.54Apr 18, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 16:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".