Muddy-Dramaturge
0xa5e1764a980eb7945238f23ab6b27a24d6963094
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$7.04
Total PnL
$-0.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.96
$-0.04
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will 1+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during meeting with French President?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during meeting with French President?$0.00Jun 16, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 15, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$2.02Jun 15, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 15, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during meeting with French President?$1.04Jun 15, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ukraine" during meeting with French President?$1.01Jun 15, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.00Jun 15, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$1.02Jun 15, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Professional" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?$2.99Aug 29, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$1.54Aug 29, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$2.00Aug 29, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$1.00Aug 22, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Professional" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?$2.00Aug 22, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?$1.55Aug 22, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?$1.66Aug 22, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLEarthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?$2.39Aug 22, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?$0.99Aug 21, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?$1.85Aug 21, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?$0.87Aug 21, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?$1.00Aug 18, 07:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 07:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 00:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.