Lazy-Gambling
0xa5e4c491ba8b4b1c54ed24ded0f7e4697196eff6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$407.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
407 shares @ 4.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$407.00
$387.44
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-313.03
- YES
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?
1970 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-175.22
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
1400 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-406.00
- YES
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
1000 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-265.00
- YES
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
800 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-106.45
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
800 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-235.88
- YES
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
400 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-251.60
- YES
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?
400 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.68
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear Edition
400 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-67.88
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?$0.33Feb 21, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$2.08Feb 21, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$32.00Feb 21, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$100.00Jan 24, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$13.55Jan 9, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$81.29Jan 9, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$11.61Jan 9, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$32.18Jan 9, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$89.10Jan 9, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$58.00Jan 9, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$54.36Jan 9, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$130.00Jan 9, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$406.00Jan 8, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$157.98Jan 3, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$155.06Jan 3, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?$200.00Jan 3, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$158.00Jan 1, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?$275.23Dec 31, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?$1.40Dec 31, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?$73.86Dec 31, 10:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $68.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 06:14 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 16:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.