Fitting-Healthcare
0xa5ebf9956be23e2925f0ffacc369e46c268a5935
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$46.14
Total PnL
$-60.59
Realised
$-0.83
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
20 shares @ 97.8¢·now 94.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$18.93
$-0.63
- NO
Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 92.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.60
$-8.80
- NO
Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 93.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.50
$-9.10
- NO
Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 93.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.10
$-10.50
- YES
Will ElmiilloR Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)
13 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.01
$-0.01
- YES
Will Top Esports Make Finals at MSI 2026
50 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
MSI 2026: Will The CBLOL go Further than the LCS?
50 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Shaq attend the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will anyone say "Dog Fight" or "Dogfight" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will Trump say "Grass" this week?
33 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jiri Lehecka Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?$18.72Aug 1, 09:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.24Aug 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLAndrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?$0.04Jul 31, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.09Jul 31, 00:29 UTC
- REWARD$3.85Jul 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ElmiilloR Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)$0.01Jul 30, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?$0.62Jul 30, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 30?$0.40Jul 30, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.11Jul 30, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?$19.56Jul 30, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?$18.60Jul 30, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?$18.40Jul 30, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?$18.60Jul 30, 03:52 UTC
- REWARD$7.65Jul 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on July 29?$18.60Jul 29, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luciano Darderi Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?$18.56Jul 29, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luciano Darderi Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?$18.62Jul 29, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on July 29?$18.60Jul 29, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple say "Health" during earnings call?$28.50Jul 29, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on July 29?$0.25Jul 29, 10:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $8.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 08:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 09:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.