Thick-Chaos
0xa5f009422519f54ded6e9cc032a309a6ee788c88
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.30
Total PnL
$-0.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- SINNER
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Ben Shelton
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-13?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Ben Shelton$1.00Nov 14, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti$1.15Nov 14, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2025-11-13?$1.19Nov 14, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti$1.00Nov 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2025-11-13?$1.00Nov 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2025-11-13?$1.00Nov 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.00Nov 10, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 10:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 10:44 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.