Difficult-Application
0xa5f21c50e63d814eb7dae21d9a11a15c680392c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$14.29
Total PnL
$-767.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$14.29
$4.29
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
19063 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-321.97
- NO
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
1502 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$350.00Apr 21, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $10.00Dec 20, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$294.12Nov 6, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$100.00Jul 23, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Jun 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$200.00Jun 15, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$222.00Jun 15, 17:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $163.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 17:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.