Narrow-Contract
0xa607038a28dbc4a9060558653b5216b1027f3181
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$131.34
Total PnL
$-16.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
27 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$27.03
$7.03
- NO
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$24.39
$14.39
- NO
Eric Adams arrested by March 31?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.00
$1.20
- NO
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
20 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$20.00
$10.80
- NO
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$18.00
$11.16
- NO
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
12 shares @ 88.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$12.00
$1.39
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
10 shares @ 57.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.91
$4.21
- YES
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
115 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?
40 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$10.00Mar 6, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$15.00Mar 4, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.00Mar 2, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 1, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.70Mar 1, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEric Adams arrested by March 31?$18.80Feb 28, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$100.00Feb 28, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$40.00Feb 25, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?$1.44Feb 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?$0.96Feb 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?$2.40Feb 13, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?$9.05Feb 13, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Somalia next?$12.00Feb 13, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$18.48Feb 11, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$21.84Feb 11, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Feb 11, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Feb 11, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$24.54Feb 10, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$24.52Feb 10, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$25.39Feb 10, 19:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $13.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 19:25 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 21:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.