Natural-Gate
0xa6076709e7c5451bdb2d97dc2b288503624e4f72
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$4.01
Total PnL
$0.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMRockies vs. Guardians$0.00Nov 20, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMNationals vs. Astros$0.00Nov 20, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3)$3.33Nov 20, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMRockies vs. Guardians$1.49Nov 20, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMNationals vs. Astros$1.72Nov 20, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNationals vs. Astros$1.00Jul 29, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockies vs. Guardians$1.00Jul 29, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Celtics$2.74Jul 29, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMRaptors vs. Bucks$3.17Jul 29, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Celtics$2.36Jan 17, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Bucks$2.66Jan 17, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWest Ham United wins the Premier League?$4.91Oct 28, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLSouthampton wins the Premier League?$4.52Oct 20, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouthampton wins the Premier League?$4.53Oct 20, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NC State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$3.37Oct 17, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NC State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$3.38Oct 17, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWest Ham United wins the Premier League?$4.93Oct 12, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win South Dakota Presidential Election?$3.77Oct 12, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win South Dakota Presidential Election?$3.79Oct 12, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?$3.37Oct 12, 17:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 4, 14:25 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 20, 10:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.