Novel-Facsimile
0xa60db2d2ccd5482e0a7bbc0a4c4abd44ece1e653
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$11.44
Total PnL
$-77.12
Realised
$-9.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
11 shares @ 92.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.81
$0.81
- YES
Deel IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.63
$-2.88
- YES
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
265 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
112 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
62 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-22.94
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
44 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
- YES
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.93Jan 15, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$22.94Jan 15, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$25.00Jan 15, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.02Jan 13, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.04Jan 9, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.00Jan 9, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$21.40Jan 9, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$3.00Jan 9, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$9.00Jan 9, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$10.00Jan 9, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$21.88Jan 9, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$10.00Jan 9, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.05Jan 9, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$21.00Jan 9, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?$11.79Jan 9, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBody-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?$5.55Jan 9, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLDelcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$16.92Jan 9, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeel IPO before 2027?$3.50Jan 6, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$10.00Jan 6, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$10.00Jan 6, 03:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 06:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 01:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".