Exotic-Bird
0xa61a3d49ab4782cd3ecb9403b652821739ab4843
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$6.55
Total PnL
$-56.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.25
$-0.00
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.10
$-0.03
- NO
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.14
$-0.00
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
800 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-16.19
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
700 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
500 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
200 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
200 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.06Jun 4, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.14Jun 4, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.25Jun 4, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$1.13Jun 4, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$5.13Jun 4, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$1.12May 10, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$2.14May 10, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.24May 10, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 17?$1.21May 10, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.35May 10, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.57May 10, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 17?$1.20Apr 17, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.20Apr 17, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.30Apr 17, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$1.21Apr 17, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$2.23Apr 17, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$3.31Apr 17, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$1.20Mar 10, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$2.20Mar 10, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$3.30Mar 10, 06:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $83.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 15:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 05:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".