Hard-To-Find-Stone
0xa61b57385a3edc4aaaa5032f14c7a85c857870f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$6.53
Total PnL
$-7.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.49
$0.01
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.12
$-0.00
- NO
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.05
$0.00
- NO
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.03
$0.00
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.99
$-0.07
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 55.0¢·now 33.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.85
$-0.56
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?
4 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.42
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 5AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 14?$1.06Jun 13, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.12Jun 13, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?$1.05Apr 29, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada strike Iran by March 31?$1.03Mar 28, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?$1.48Dec 30, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 7, 5AM ET$1.16Dec 6, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$2.55Dec 3, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.41Dec 3, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$2.57Nov 26, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - November 21, 8PM ET$2.80Nov 26, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.42Nov 26, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 21, 8PM ET$1.43Nov 20, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$1.54Nov 18, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$16.61Nov 15, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.85Nov 15, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$27.46Nov 15, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$19.84Nov 15, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$7.69Nov 15, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$27.53Nov 15, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$7.40Nov 15, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $12.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 02:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.