Smart-Vagrant
0xa624351003df8ef28d6af507cbe74c46ef03f91f
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$65.91
Total PnL
$14.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?
14 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$13.90
$1.67
- NO
Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?
11 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.79
$3.56
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
9 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$9.39
$2.82
- YES
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.58
$2.58
- NO
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.85
$1.85
- YES
Fed rate cut in 2025?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.17
$1.17
- YES
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.75
$0.75
- NO
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.49
$0.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?$12.23Aug 1, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea missile test by July 15?$10.64Aug 1, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Yemen before August?$11.60Aug 1, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile test by July 15?$10.00Jul 12, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Yemen before August?$9.86Jul 12, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$6.17Jul 12, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMStrike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?$6.25Jul 12, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before August?$7.43Jul 12, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$6.57Jun 30, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$0.00Jun 30, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?$6.57Jun 30, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?$4.99Jun 20, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$5.00Jun 20, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line in 2025?$7.23Jun 19, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US recognize Palestine in 2025?$5.00Jun 19, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$5.00Jun 19, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$5.00Jun 19, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut in 2025?$5.00Jun 19, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?$5.00Jun 19, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before August?$5.00Jun 19, 14:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $6.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 21:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".