False-Relative
0xa6263b7ceec1f362ae3fef4598fa7c154360f964
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$10.91
Total PnL
$-37.96
Realised
$-7.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
362 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.44
$0.69
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
28 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.44
$0.04
- YES
Will Son Heung-min score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Kenan Yıldız score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
14 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.48
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- YES
Will East Bengal FC win on 2026-05-17?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWales vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score$1.92Jun 2, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win on 2026-06-02?$3.77Jun 2, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia win on 2026-06-02?$1.98Jun 2, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWales vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score$1.01Jun 2, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-02?$2.00Jun 2, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMorocco vs. Madagascar: Both Teams to Score$1.48Jun 2, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-01?$4.02Jun 2, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win on 2026-06-01?$3.43Jun 1, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 1, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Son Heung-min score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 1, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kenan Yıldız score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 1, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-01?$3.25Jun 1, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-01?$2.55Jun 1, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-06-01?$4.36Jun 1, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBulgaria vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Score$0.52Jun 1, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-01?$2.46Jun 1, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulgaria vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Score$1.02Jun 1, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-05-31?$8.14May 31, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-05-31?$7.03May 31, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$7.33May 31, 18:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 21:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 23:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".