0xa62c40651f5e0a9e99d5c4acaab704b71a8ece98
0xa62c40651f5e0a9e99d5c4acaab704b71a8ece98
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-368.38
Realised
$-158.31
Win rate
3%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
145 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-37.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
93 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-24.09
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
89 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- BUCKS
Celtics vs. Bucks
49 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
38 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-12.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET
31 shares @ 43.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-13.68
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET
28 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.43
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 8PM ET
20 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.99
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 14, 10AM ET
18 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$1.08Jul 15, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$3.39Jul 15, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$1.10Jul 15, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$1.10Jul 15, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$2.24Jul 15, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$1.10Jul 15, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$1.10Jul 15, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$1.09Jul 15, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$5.30Jul 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$1.09Jul 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$1.09Jul 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$1.09Jul 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$1.09Jul 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$1.09Jul 15, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$1.09Jul 15, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$1.09Jul 15, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$4.76Jul 15, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$2.19Jul 15, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$1.10Jul 15, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$1.09Jul 15, 07:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 32 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
32 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 07:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.