Clumsy-Analgesia
0xa6327d4cb43788ae5300debcc13cdf5d54426fc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-635.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Santos FC win on 2026-03-22?
814 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-211.61
- YES
Will the Conservative Party of Japan be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election?
310 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-11.48
- REAL OVIEDO
Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)
286 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-40.08
- YES
Will Jalen Duren win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
277 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 12 be greater than 2,800,000?
268 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-42.86
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
266 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.97
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 14?
253 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.09
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 16?
247 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.36
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 19 above $215?
242 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 18?
241 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-32.73
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 1?$15.79Jul 2, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $88 in June?$19.13Jul 1, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 28?$13.36Jun 29, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28?$15.50Jun 29, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 28?$16.30Jun 29, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 28?$17.17Jun 29, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 1?$7.58Jun 28, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 1?$7.27Jun 28, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $88 in June?$19.05Jun 28, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 28?$13.04Jun 24, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 28?$15.39Jun 24, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 28?$16.98Jun 24, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28?$14.93Jun 24, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?$13.41Jun 8, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?$13.12May 28, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santos FC win on 2026-03-22?$211.61Mar 18, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)$40.08Mar 16, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Southampton FC win on 2026-03-14?$312.50Mar 15, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 12 be greater than 2,800,000?$42.86Mar 9, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Southampton FC win on 2026-03-14?$87.50Mar 7, 11:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $57.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 04:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 04:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.