Frayed-Operating
0xa63928cf5e488b184ecafa1e7364cc458cc9ce18
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$49.78
Total PnL
$-12.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$15.15
$10.15
- NO
Will Italy join the Board of Peace?
10 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.13
$2.13
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$6.90
$2.90
- NO
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.08
$2.08
- YES
Will Trump say "Minnesota" during the State of the Union address?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$3.33
$0.33
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.94
$0.94
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (February 8)
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$2.53
$0.53
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: January
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.38
$0.38
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.33
$0.33
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (February 8)$2.00Feb 3, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Jan 29, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.00Jan 29, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.00Jan 29, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.00Jan 29, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.00Jan 29, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Midterm Election" during Iowa speech?$0.00Jan 29, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Corn" during Iowa speech?$0.00Jan 29, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Greenland" during remarks on January 28?$0.00Jan 29, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during Iowa speech?$2.17Jan 29, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" 15+ times during Iowa speech?$3.70Jan 29, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech?$11.25Jan 29, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference?$6.06Jan 29, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Probability" during January press conference?$0.00Jan 29, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?$0.00Jan 29, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?$0.00Jan 29, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" during Iowa speech?$0.00Jan 29, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" during Iowa speech?$1.52Jan 29, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?$0.00Jan 27, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?$4.00Jan 27, 14:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 03:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 11:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.