Important-Recording
0xa63ccb75d1d3bb843a5c6665f95ddcc85cd8cb45
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$94.09
Total PnL
$-10.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 1?
94 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$94.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 8?
980 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 4?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 4?
804 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on November 5?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on December 4?
467 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
360 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 1?$94.00Jun 1, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?$94.09Jun 1, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?$94.01May 28, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$93.09May 28, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$93.01May 23, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?$93.19May 23, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?$93.01May 17, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$93.09May 17, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$93.01May 13, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$93.09May 13, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$93.00May 7, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?$93.09May 7, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?$93.01May 4, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$93.09May 4, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$93.00Apr 23, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 18?$93.09Apr 23, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 18?$93.00Apr 18, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 15?$93.09Apr 18, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 15?$93.00Apr 15, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 10?$93.09Apr 15, 07:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $84.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 10:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".